1 decade ago*

Comment has been collapsed.

If we assume there are 1000 entries in each giveaway, which is pretty fair from what I've seen and also easier for math, then the probability of you winning each one is 1/1000, the probability of not winning is 999/1000. Since each entry is an independent event, to calculate how likely it is that you win 0 giveaways, you use the formula, (999/1000)^x, where x is the number of giveaways.
(999/1000)^130=0.878 which is 87.8%

The math for when you are only 50% likely to not have won is shown below:

(999/1000)^x=0.5

log((999/1000)^x)=log(0.5)

x*log(999/1000)=log(0.5)

x=(log(0.5))/(log(999/1000))

x=692.8

The math isn't in your favor for winning until you reach about 700 giveaways, chill out.
Don't complain about not winning free things, and especially don't complain if the math is heavily against you.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

You forgot to factor QQ

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

1222:0 :)

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

It just takes time. I've also been on for about 3 weeks, and haven't won a thing. Do I complain? No. I just let nature take its course, and go on my merry way, entering more and more giveaways. Everyone's bound to win something sometime, but just be patient about it. I also assume it would be a good idea to be on everyone's good graces so you can enter more giveaways in the forums. Try getting out on the forums more often (of course, I shouldn't be talking, since I barely have a presence anywhere I go.)

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

2200 giveaways entered, won 7 gifts! guess im lucky then :)

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

You're added to my list of being rerolled. You'll never win a game from me, grats.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

EAT YOUR ROUTER. NOW!

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

It's not about entering giveaways. It's about leaving a message...

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

CoolieMcAwesome ladies and gentlemens... [APLAUDE]

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I actually read this forum post like three hours ago and right before falling asleep I realised how amazing that comment would be. takes a bow

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

haaar haaar haaaaaar

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

IT'S NOT WHETHER YOU WIN OR LOSE IT'S HOW YOU PLAY THE GAME

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

It takes time. I won something at the entries of 1000 :(

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Because mathematics.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

honey u have to enter wayyy moreeee :D i mean whos gonna give free games to impatient cheeky dudes :D

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Boo fucking hoo.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

f

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

3 weeks and only 124 giveaway entered? DOesnt looks liek u even tryin to win anything.
But looking at peeps who registered 2 hour ago, enetered 3 giveaway and already win one... Stupid GOD of random ><

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

PLEASE DO NOT MAKE THESE THREADS! NO ONE CAN CHANGE THE ODDS OF YOU WINNING

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

4k+ entries
11 wins
5 of them are dlc
2 of them are developers giveaways
1 was made by an idiot

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Just wait dude , there are thousand of other threads just like this one

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

does it help if you create giveaways? I don't mind not winning but after a bunch of tries it does make you lose hope of winning anything. oh wells

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Math is hard

...apparently

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I have entered over 2 200 giveaways and I have not won any public non-contributor giveaway yet. Think about it.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

You win alot in "WE ARE GREEDY" group, so dont talk about u didnt win any public giveaway.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

NO PREMIUM ACCOUNT!

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Welcome to Steamgifts =)

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

there are 10's of thousands of sg users do the math

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

200 to be more precise

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

I've entered over 2,100 and only won 3 public giveaway, and 1 private, I was the only entry :P lol

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Closed 1 decade ago by elbennito00.