How can i raise the "Estimated Wins" ?
Thanks
תודה
спасибо
Tack
شكرا

1 decade ago*

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participating in giveaways with less entries

1 decade ago
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irellevant. i've lost giveaway with 4 entrys :)

1 decade ago
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100% relevent actually, just because you lost doesn't mean it wouldn't contribute to your estimate wins.

1 decade ago
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i lost a giveaway with 2 entrys

1 decade ago
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hahaha, EPIC, but it's not that difficult, just 50% doesn't?

1 decade ago
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Same :(

1 decade ago
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Someone has to.

1 decade ago
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i lost a giveaway with one entry :(

1 decade ago
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Lies.

1 decade ago
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I've seen it happen. Legit group giveaway, 1 entry, and the person got suspended just before it closed so he couldn't win.

1 decade ago
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Brian? Is that you?

1 decade ago
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I am Brian!

1 decade ago
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It's all probability. Losing a giveaway with only two entries should raise your estimated wins by 0.5

1 decade ago
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I lost a giveaway with 0 entries.

1 decade ago
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someone has to come up with negative entries amount now!

1 decade ago
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i actually had to give away a game, instead of winning one

1 decade ago
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if stupidity hurt..

1 decade ago
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It still goes up with giveaways with lots of entries, just not as much as ones with lower entries. Simply entering a giveaway will increase the number

1 decade ago
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Enter less giveaways, won more. :D

1 decade ago
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Why would you want to inflate your estimated wins?

1 decade ago
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Give him "better chance" to win. lol

1 decade ago
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I can bet he's cRPG player, he just likes when stats are raising.

1 decade ago
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I'm guessing you're not who the penis enlargement ads are targeted at. Cos that's a valid question right there. I have no idea if breast implant ads sound as ludicrous to the fair sex, but it would be a decent approximation.

1 decade ago
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V__V

Why??

1 decade ago
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Go talk to the local fortuneteller and enter only the giveaway he/she tells you to join.

1 decade ago
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It's just a statistic, mind you. Estimated wins have no actual bearing on whether or not you win anything.

1 decade ago
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Every time you enter a giveaway it goes up, regardless of whether you win or not. Giveaways with fewer entries will boost it more than giveaways with lots of entries, but they'll both increase the number, however small it may be. It's worth mentioning that it doesn't effect your chances of winning.

1 decade ago
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Actually, joining a lot of AAA giveaways with thousands of entries lowers your estimated wins by dragging down the average.

1 decade ago
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Ehm, not really. You never get a negative chance at winning. Simply, as Monu says, your estimated wins don't increase as much. Of course it's pure speculation if we don't see the actual algorithm, but it'd be very counterintuitive otherwise.

1 decade ago
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My estimation has dropped since the feature was launched. The average changes each time you enter a giveaway, and it is indeed true that the bigger the giveaway the lower your overall average.

1 decade ago
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Basically, this.

The effect that entering a giveaway has is relative to your preexisting estimated wins. Obviously a person with 0 entries will raise their estimated wins whether they enter a big or small giveaway, whereas a person who has spent most of their time on SG entering giveaways with very few entries has a high estimated win and would have that estimation lowered by entering a giveaway with 5k entries or whatever.

edit: When the feature was revealed I had 6.01 estimated wins and now I have 5.51.

1 decade ago
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The number lowered yesterday because it was modified to only take into account closed giveaways. Estimated wins is the sum of all your entered giveaways using the following formula...

SUM(1/MAX(1,(Gift.Entries/Gift.Copies)))

1 decade ago
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Well curse that. I had 13.37 for a while.

1 decade ago
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That explains it. I was confused as to how that could happen. Thanks.

1 decade ago
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Great of you to post this, I've had my own "Estimated wins" thing going, and I was wondering on the small fluctuation since this went live on the site. Now it makes perfect sense. Keep up the good work cg!

1 decade ago
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But it should be SUM(MIN(1,Gift.Copies/Gift.Entries)) instead!!!

Oh.... nevermind. ;)

1 decade ago
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There are so many things wrong with what you just said...

So many things...

1 decade ago
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I love you too. <3

1 decade ago
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You lost me at the "a giveaway with a large amount of entries has a negative chance of winning" part. That really confused me.

1 decade ago
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At the time we didn't know what the equation behind the variable of estimated wins actually was, all I was saying is that it could have been some sort of average.

But whatever, mystery solved. I'm stupid, you're smart. Congratulations.

1 decade ago
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Do I get an award? :D

1 decade ago
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I enter giveaway with less wins and right win to loss ratio is 1:215, and I think that's above average for someone who only enters public giveaways.

1 decade ago
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If Gifts Won > Estimated Wins then You are lucky guy;
If Gifts Won < Estimated Wins then You are not lucky guy
=)

1 decade ago
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i gonna take notes, good point

1 decade ago
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It will not surprise me when people start competing to have the highest estimated wins.

1 decade ago
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It's probably easier to just compete to have the most entries.

1 decade ago
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Enter giveaways ¬_¬

1 decade ago
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Enter giveaways with better chances to win, that is giveaways with lower amount of entries.

1 decade ago
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Enter for giveaways. Estimated wins is a flat probability function that works as a fairly basic addition function. The fewer entries the giveaway has, the more it will increase your estimated wins.

When a giveaway ends, divide 1 by the number of entries. That value will be added to your estimated wins.
(So 20 entries = +0.05 whereas 1000 entries = +0.001)

1 decade ago
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Enter a giveaway, let it close, profit but not really.

1 decade ago
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Why did you translated "thanks" to 4 other languages? Weird מוזר странный konstig عجيب

1 decade ago
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I like this idea with the 4 language - Hopefully all means thanks! :-D

1 decade ago
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It is.

So you think the entire SG community should write random stupid and irrelevant translation for the last word they say?

1 decade ago
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Dont know.. because i cannot read or translate :-D I think, people like fun sometimes, and its a funny idea!

1 decade ago
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I don't see a problem with it.

No veo un problema con él.

Ich sehe nicht ein Problem mit ihm.

Je ne vois pas de problème avec ça.

私はそれで問題が表示されない。

أنا لا أرى مشكلة في ذلك.

Yarrrr, I don't be seein' a problem with it, matey.

1 decade ago
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hahahaha I love the last translation xD posted 7 shots of rum ago

1 decade ago
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Pssst! I got secret estimated-wins counter booster. I can borrow it for 19.99$, but I would let you only quadruple your estimated wins, not more!

1 decade ago
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Gifts Won 3
Estimated Wins 6.57

hm, i want to raise the wins not the estimated wins :D

1 decade ago
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Be sure to only use your left hand while entering giveaways. Your estimated wins will increase at twice the normal rate.

1 decade ago
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Estimated Wins: 7.98

Gifts Won: 15

(⌐■_■)

1 decade ago
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Deleted

This comment was deleted 1 year ago.

1 decade ago
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o_o what did I just watch.

1 decade ago
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It has started!

1 decade ago
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Don't.
It makes you feel bad.

1 decade ago
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I lost a give away with 10,000 copys and 10,001 entries :(
o.0

1 decade ago
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pics or it didn't happen

1 decade ago
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of my boobs?

1 decade ago
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I'd like to issue a pre-emptive "shopped!" accusation on any potential photos

1 decade ago
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Deleted

This comment was deleted 4 years ago.

1 decade ago
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Enter more giveaways.

1 decade ago
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Closed 1 decade ago by Nixoroyz.