Browse
Category
DiscussionsUncategorized

what is your oppinion about the chances to win in gameminer and here?

Closed
txomin

Hi i'm surprised becouse i won 2 hours ago the game orion dino horde in gameminer in one giveaway with 6071 entries...lol...i dont believe but its true.it's my 4 game winned since registered 2 months ago.
at the momment in gameminer i entry in 2009 giveaways and win 4 games and here i entry in 951 giveaways and win one game.
¿what is your oppinion? ¿they have more chances to win in gameminer o it's all cuestion of luck?

1 decade ago*

Comment has been collapsed.

25 Comments
Gabzilla

Math.
Edit: There is no such thing as luck!

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Deleted

This comment was deleted 2 years ago.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Kasdar

The odds are purely based on the number of entries for each giveaway. if you flip a coin 10 times you have an equal chance to get 10 heads, as you do to get 1 or none, its all about your personal luck against that of the other entrants.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Wormy

1 heads is more likely than 10 or 0 as there are 10 different possibilities that lead to it.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Kasdar

statistically speaking you are wrong.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Wormy

Given that coin flips are distinct, there is one sequence of flips that results in 0 or 10 heads and 10 equally likely sequences that result in 1 heads.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Lobo93

Nuh billy
The chance of getting heads on the first flip is 50%, then getting heads on the next one would still be 50%
Getting heads twice in a row = 50% of 50% = 25%

Now the funny thing is, the chance of getting tails on the second flip is also 50%, so 50% of 50% = still 25%

In the end, the chance of getting either 10 consecutive heads, or 9 heads and 1 tails are both roughly 0,097%
:D

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Wormy

I agree that the probability of getting heads followed by heads is the same as heads followed by tails, but that is not what was said.

Ways of getting zero heads:
TTTTTTTTTT

Ways of getting 1 heads:
HTTTTTTTTT
THTTTTTTTT
TTHTTTTTTT
TTTHTTTTTT
TTTTHTTTTT
TTTTTHTTTT
TTTTTTHTTT
TTTTTTTHTT
TTTTTTTTHT
TTTTTTTTTH

1/1024 chance of 0 heads, 10/1024 chance of 1 heads. If you think I'm wrong then you're also arguing that 10 heads is just as likely as 5 heads and 5 tails (its not).

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Lobo93

OH RIGHT
nvm me
in a coin flip scenario the one coin supposed to be tails isn't attached to one position, making it one random free spot of 100% chance somewhere between the flips :v

(also, I think the coin flipping wasn't a very good example in the giveaway odds situation...)

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Alientcp

You are wrong, you have 50-50 each time you flip a coin. Provided you flip a single coin the 10 times, you have 50-50 chance to have 10-0, 9-1, 8-2, etc.

If you flip 10 coins SIMULTANEOUSLY well, thats another story.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Wormy

I have a 50/50 chance of 11 possible outcomes? Flip 1 coin 10 times and write down the result. Do this 1000 times and you will see you are wrong.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
KaBob

How does simultaneously make any difference at all?

9 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Deleted

This comment was deleted 4 years ago.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
ilborghi

This. I don't see how there could be any opinions.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Laptoprocker

You are more likely to win a giveaway with less entries, mathematically speaking the percentage is smaller. In the other hand if you enter a giveaway with only 100 entries you have 10% to win which is not much, if you enter one with 10.000 entries you have 0.1% to win and so on. It's like crates in TF2, you have 0.66% chance to unbox an unusual hat which worths several times the price of the key to open the crate, its a frigtheningly small chance. (I've won 4 gifts on steamgifts, all of them were below 700 entries) However everytime I enter a giveaway I think to myself "I have just as much chance to win as each and every person in the giveaway"

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
GPTrixie

Yeah, even if 20.000 people entered SOMEONE will win. It's inevitable, no luck there :P

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
AvidWriter

Well you need an invite to that site, so F that site. :P

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
jbondguy007

...
You don't need an invite.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
sarcasticsanya

i didn't even know the site and i just joined with no invite..so no you don't

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
tommulmul

cc8a071c43874f014df9a4929db99ecc, have fun.

9 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
makromatee

Referrals are not allowed here and will getting you suspended.

9 years ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
jbondguy007

I won a game on Gameminer before that I win one on Steamgifts, and I had registered on Steamgifts long before.
I guess Gameminer is not as popular as SG, so there are less entries.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
QuietWolf

70+ giveaways entered, 1 win. Now, if it cost me money to enter each giveaway, not just the Contributor Only ones, then I'd complain about the odds, but it doesn't so it doesn't matter how often I win.

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
toxicfoxeh

853 giveaway entries, one win, and that was back before 50 entries, never tried the other site so im not sure if id have better luck, but maybe im entering int he wrong way here, or just unlucky XD

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.
Disturbed0ne

I've won 3+ times as many games on SG as I have on GM.

SG entries to wins - 9997/70

GM entries to wins - 7879/20(2 of which were fake/not received giveaways)

Since I can't speak/read Russian, I also find this sites community and forum a lot more inviting.

There's also the fact that GM has a forum solely dedicated to the sale of entire Steam accounts, which I don't agree with...

1 decade ago
Permalink

Comment has been collapsed.

Closed 9 years ago by txomin.