From one tab I had open, the data is 1~2 hour after the beginning of this steam day, card 6 sold 93,300 in the last 24h, let's say 100,000. So assuming it's the same for the others (too lazy to check) it means only 100,000 non-foil summer badges were paid with steam wallet for this day. So you base your value on a minority.
Edit: forgot the badge is worth 10 point, so half of the points comes from the market (not counting foil, no numbers on this). Where is the other half coming from ?
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I said in the edit it was 50%, so yes I was wrong when I said it was a minority.
It's the cheapest method, apart from the free cards you get from votes, from buying games (remember it's the big sale, people buy a lot of games), and the lots and lots of people that have game cards lying in their inventory and craft them (1 point) and get 1 free card, and the 1 or 2 free card that you get each day where you made at least 1 point.
Yes a lot of these free cards get sold in the market (~100,000*10 per day) but a certain number do not.
Edit: oh and I forgot about the 500 and 1,000 points boost, that some get for free when crafting the summer badge, some get sold, some are used directly, so lots of potential free points.
Though I guess you could argue that these free cards and token could have been sold instead, not sure what your number represents in that case.
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