Came here to say I won my first game! :)
I am wondering though if there's any relation between creating giveaways and winning games, because it was just after I created my first giveaway!
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That's just a coincidence. I won my first game at 44 giveaways created.
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I'm currently: Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 26 fewer gifts than estimated since you first joined.
My worst month in the past 12 months was -2.11. Fortunately, 3 of the past 4 months have been very positive around +1.5 which is great because I was at -30 at some point.
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I've done some calculations about my luck. According to the site, each day I have had between 1.5 and 10% chance of winning. I averaged it to a little over 2%. That should mean there is a 98% chance I don't win. I went for 200+ days in a row with those statistics (better than 2% average chance of winning) without winning a single giveaway. The probability of 200 days in a row of not winning is less than 2%. After several years on here, I am at 19 games fewer than expected according to the stats page. You would expect it to even out after hundreds of trials, but it doesn't appear to be doing so.
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at one point I was -5.14 for a month; I don't recall off the top of my head if that was the lowest I've ever seen.
-51 for the last 3 years.
-13.13 for 2021 combined.
In 2019 I had a few consecutive months about -7
Edit: Whups, I missed that this was a year old. Ah well,
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About to pass three years without a win. Don't worry, you'll get used to it ♥
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I'm currently at -0.64 at the Luck Per Month poll. How low can one go? What's the lowest you've been? This month my probability at winning per day was at around 12%... I wonder how's everyone else's chance!
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