Actually, I disagree with that. The estimate is the aggregate sum of the probability of each giveaway entered. Essentially Σ[1/entries in GA]. On an individual level the estimate is meaningless, each GA (with a minimum of 1 entry) still has a 1/entries chance of a specific entrant winning, with a 100% chance of any entrant winning.
Personally, I'd be interested in seeing (total received gifts)/(total estimate). That number can be used to gauge the effectiveness of whatever RNG is being used to select the winner.
Comment has been collapsed.
For the first few I won along the lines of the estimate. around 1 I won my first and so on.
Comment has been collapsed.
Well I registered 8 months ago. It took me 6 months before I won a single thing, I was already "due" 3 wins according to the estimate. Then in two months time I got 7 wins and now I'm over the estimate.
It's random. Welcome to random.
Giveaways Entered: 3,207
Giveaways Won: 7
Estimated Wins: 4.88
Maybe it'll take another 6 months to get the next hit. Half of the fun is in the suspense.
Comment has been collapsed.
Or we reply to further troll the ones who don't. :P
Comment has been collapsed.
your lucky iv entered 1,019 and have an estimated wins of 2.10 and still have not won anything. im so sad. but feel free to give me stuff out of your own generosity :D
Comment has been collapsed.
Thanks for Fortix.
Also: Winning a game on steamgifts is like winning the lottery. You never really expect to win when you buy the ticket, but deep inside you are hoping, and if it comes true? Hurray!
Comment has been collapsed.
Keep an eye on Bundle websites, most of the giveaways are game packs from there, bought with 1$. I never exchanged anything here, I'm just for the news and forum discussions.
Comment has been collapsed.
765 Comments - Last post 46 minutes ago by grimfandango8888
0 Comments - Created 47 minutes ago by PaganFears
43 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by Qnemes
70 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by orono
12 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by orono
17 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by SeaGoblin
345 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by Vasharal
2,162 Comments - Last post 9 seconds ago by canis39
28,500 Comments - Last post 2 minutes ago by MarshallBanana0815
1,046 Comments - Last post 2 minutes ago by Mhol1071
18 Comments - Last post 3 minutes ago by FateOfOne
110 Comments - Last post 8 minutes ago by squall831
415 Comments - Last post 11 minutes ago by WarlordFred
714 Comments - Last post 11 minutes ago by Fitz10024
Why do I never seem to win at all? Even my . estimated win is more than 1 so shouldn't I win something already? Is this site a scam?
Comment has been collapsed.