Question...

It's based on the number of giveaways you have entered and the number of entrants in each giveaway. Comments and contributions do not factor in to your estimated or actual wins.

I think is just a rand function.

The less entrants a GA has, the more chance of winning you have. If you keep participating on GAs with less entries, your estimated win ratio will rise. In this case your estimated wins can be a higher number than another user's, even if he has participated more GAs than you.

If you entered a giveaway with 1,000 entries, this increased your "estimated wins" by 1/1,000. If you entered a giveaway with 5 copies and 2,000 entries, this increased your "estimated wins" by 5/2,000.

It's just a measure of how much, on average, you could have expected to win by now. Since it is just an average, your actual wins could be higher or lower.

You said: I'm sure this has been asked/posted ...

You are totally right

Thanks guys, I get it now. Closed.