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Impossible.

1 decade ago
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Why? If we can can get about 100 people with 100 friends to invite everyone,and if %15 of invites are accepted,it's done.

1 decade ago
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Someone's good at math! :D

1 decade ago
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Bladeage (5 hours ago*) >>
...by the way 8496 Members at the moment!


Now >>
8,641 Members

It makes 145 new members in 5 hours,which makes 696 new members in 24 hours.Due some day time and error tolerance stuff we should consider a worst case-scenario which should be about -%35 which leaves us about 400 users a day,multiplying with our remaining time,5 days,it's completely doable.

1 decade ago
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Okay. It's possible. Happy? :)

1 decade ago
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I'm happy when i'm right :P

1 decade ago
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You bastard. :D

1 decade ago
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I would actually think it would be best modeled as a decay function like 1/(x^2) because there will be a lot of hype on this initially and therefore a lot of invites but it will quickly subside with most users.

1 decade ago
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Just joined, thanks for your generosity!

1 decade ago
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126 invites sent !

1 decade ago
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sent some invites

1 decade ago
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Invited :D

1 decade ago
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i'll invite my entire friends list too then lol

1 decade ago
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Wait a minute..
If you do the math correctly, it goes like this:
Let's say on one giveaway there is average 1000 people, so chance is 1/1000=0.001
Now we sum all 100 giveaways and we get 0.1%, not 1%.

1 decade ago
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He did the math simpler.Considering it will be a group giveaway,there will be max of 10,000 users in each giveaway.100 games will be given away.In a worst-case scenerio,with 10k entries on 100 giveaways,10,000/100 you have a %1 chance of getting one of games.

1 decade ago
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Not quite...
If N is 1000 per giveaway:
-for 1 giveaway it's 0.1% chance (what you wrote, 0.001, would need 100000 entrants in a giveaway; when you divide, you need to multiply by 100 to get percentage)
-for 100 giveaways it is sill 0.1% chance (what you wrote is correct, but not in that way; this is like lottery, you can enter 1 million and the odds are the same no matter how many you enter, if the number of entries is presummed to be always the same; it DOES NOT sum up to give you better odds)

1 decade ago
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So,what you wrote implies,someone who enters 1 time to a 10k people giveaway,will have equal chance as another person who tried 100 times in independent 100 giveaways with 10k entrants.

Also what you said about lottery goes the same way.

Assume you have 1 ticket,among other 999,999 tickets.Odds of winning for you is now precisely 1/1,000,000
When you buy another ticket,your odds will be 2/1,000,001.This is,(among some really small odds cant be calculated with windows calculator) two times better odds.

1 decade ago
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Please explain why would you have better odds if you join 100 different giveaways with 10k people. You have 0.01% chance of winning each and all.

I don't assume, but I know you can't read. You can't enter 2 times in 1 giveaway, so the odds cannot improve. You can enter 100 tickets into 1 lottery draw and thus can improve odds.

1 decade ago
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Assuming that there will be exactly 10000 members entering each of those 100 giveaways, it's a 0.995% chance of winning at least 1 of them, 0.99% chance of winning exactly one game, and 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance of winning all of them!

1 decade ago
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(1/100)ΒΉΒΊΒΊ

must be the possibility of winning all of them.

1 decade ago
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challenge accepted

1 decade ago
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100 giveaways, 1/10000 chance to win any one of them. That makes (1/10000)^100 to win them all.

1 decade ago
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By the way, how do you do superscript in comments? Nothing I try seems to work correctly.

1 decade ago
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Awesome stuff Mike and it will be a tough challenge as it should be :)

1 decade ago
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And I still remember when this group had only 2k members... But 10k by the end of SS is quite impossible.

1 decade ago
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1 decade ago
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Let's do it, thanks mike!!

1 decade ago
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1 decade ago
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Thanks Mike in advance :P

1 decade ago
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<3

1 decade ago
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MoneyHypeMike You are the best, I'll be sure to invite some friends to your wonderful group.

1 decade ago
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Mike, can you add an additional challenge to your post? It would be awesome if we could most of the group to create a giveaway in the same time period.

1 decade ago
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Mass invite away!

1 decade ago
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joined

1 decade ago
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91 invites sent. Not sure if all of them will join but still...

1 decade ago
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100 Binding of Isaac please.

1 decade ago
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OMG 100 copies of Fortix! -

1 decade ago
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Thanks, Mike.

1 decade ago
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Thanks Mike hope it gets to 10k!

1 decade ago
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LOL, BUMP

1 decade ago
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Closed 1 decade ago by MoneyHypeMike.