Bladeage (5 hours ago*) >>
...by the way 8496 Members at the moment!
Now >>
8,641 Members
It makes 145 new members in 5 hours,which makes 696 new members in 24 hours.Due some day time and error tolerance stuff we should consider a worst case-scenario which should be about -%35 which leaves us about 400 users a day,multiplying with our remaining time,5 days,it's completely doable.
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He did the math simpler.Considering it will be a group giveaway,there will be max of 10,000 users in each giveaway.100 games will be given away.In a worst-case scenerio,with 10k entries on 100 giveaways,10,000/100 you have a %1 chance of getting one of games.
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Not quite...
If N is 1000 per giveaway:
-for 1 giveaway it's 0.1% chance (what you wrote, 0.001, would need 100000 entrants in a giveaway; when you divide, you need to multiply by 100 to get percentage)
-for 100 giveaways it is sill 0.1% chance (what you wrote is correct, but not in that way; this is like lottery, you can enter 1 million and the odds are the same no matter how many you enter, if the number of entries is presummed to be always the same; it DOES NOT sum up to give you better odds)
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So,what you wrote implies,someone who enters 1 time to a 10k people giveaway,will have equal chance as another person who tried 100 times in independent 100 giveaways with 10k entrants.
Also what you said about lottery goes the same way.
Assume you have 1 ticket,among other 999,999 tickets.Odds of winning for you is now precisely 1/1,000,000
When you buy another ticket,your odds will be 2/1,000,001.This is,(among some really small odds cant be calculated with windows calculator) two times better odds.
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Please explain why would you have better odds if you join 100 different giveaways with 10k people. You have 0.01% chance of winning each and all.
I don't assume, but I know you can't read. You can't enter 2 times in 1 giveaway, so the odds cannot improve. You can enter 100 tickets into 1 lottery draw and thus can improve odds.
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Assuming that there will be exactly 10000 members entering each of those 100 giveaways, it's a 0.995% chance of winning at least 1 of them, 0.99% chance of winning exactly one game, and 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance of winning all of them!
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Hello,
Challenge has been completed, here is your reward
Group link
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