i won stuff so i consider myself very lucky, i dont need these graphs, maths and solid evidence to tell me how to feel :v
Comment has been collapsed.
Yay, it says that I won one more gift than I should have \o/
Comment has been collapsed.
That is because, in your mind, losses loom larger than gains. The psychological mechanisms underpinning this effect are well documented. Your recent dry spell only serves to exacerbate the effect. In other words, it is perfectly normal to perceive yourself as being unlucky even if there is evidence to suggest otherwise.
Comment has been collapsed.
Whatever that graph says, I consider myself lucky, and I'm very grateful for all the chances and gifts I've received since I joined this site.
Problably they will never see this post, but many thanks to all the generous people that made them possible ^_^
Comment has been collapsed.
I don't know if it's said anywhere, but if folk are interested, this is the way the value is calculated: for each giveaway you enter you get a fraction with the number of copies as the numerator and the number of entries as the denominator. 3 copies and 11 entries? The fraction is 3/11. Sum up all the fractions from every giveaway and you get a number, then rounded to the nearest unit you get the expected number of wins.
So if you've won 1 game, and you go from "expected you to win 2 more" to "expected you to win 3 more" this means the sum of the fractions has gone from something like 3.49 to something like 3.51
Comment has been collapsed.
Only God can decide if you are lucky or unlucky, mortal.
Well, not very lucky I guess.
Comment has been collapsed.
2 Comments - Last post 3 minutes ago by sagan
22 Comments - Last post 42 minutes ago by OsManiaC
200 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by W3GA
16,952 Comments - Last post 4 hours ago by Csiki
22 Comments - Last post 4 hours ago by Seibitsu
26 Comments - Last post 4 hours ago by DeliberateTaco
851 Comments - Last post 5 hours ago by MeguminShiro
364 Comments - Last post 4 minutes ago by m0r1arty
30,189 Comments - Last post 9 minutes ago by HowCanSheSlap
1,064 Comments - Last post 22 minutes ago by Arwiee
17,703 Comments - Last post 32 minutes ago by RDMCz
277 Comments - Last post 32 minutes ago by Patxxv
315 Comments - Last post 34 minutes ago by Lugum
73 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by Fraden
Comment has been collapsed.