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Almost been an active user for a year now and throughout that time I would consider myself to be fairly lucky here on Steamgifts. Won some decent games in my time and until this month my luck graph was pretty balanced. Some months up and some months down but all-in-all pretty even.
This month however my luck tanked (3 fewer gifts overall) and that got me to wondering what other peoples graphs looked like. Are there some super lucky/unlucky people out there?
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Regardless of what your graph says do you think you've been lucky on Steamgifts?
Ouch, guess your one of those super unlucky guys I was talking about! :(
0.28, after a little dip! "Overall, you've been lucky, and won 1 more gift than estimated since you first joined."
Regardless, I feel lucky to have won anything at all. I really enjoy the community too (even if I can't be around as much as I'd like)
Take a guess for yourself.
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Wowzers, that's a nasty looking graph! :(
Yeah. This year I've gone weeks without seeing a win. Right now, I'm on 2 weeks since my last one. But I'm ok with it. I've won my fair share here so I can't really complain.
i havent won anything in the last 6 months.. rip my luck i guess
It happens to some. Just keep going and hope for the beast.
Very unlucky ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
Damn, can you rub my head for good luck or something?! XD
rubbing your head just a little
Can you rub .. uhh... some other part of my body ? For good luck ...
For good luck? Of course :) rubbing that other part of your body ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
your entries with just 6 other people don't need that much luck, do they ;)?
Indeed they don't, that's why this graph can't be really compared between users. It's fun for your own personal stuff, but when you try to compare, it's pretty much impossible, as they are way to many factors that should be considered.
Ok, how? Just how?
I stopped entering giveaways.
your sg life died. it tried to go on but you pulled the plug
Yet here I still am shambling around like some SG zombie...
My graph looks really flat compared to everyone elses!
"Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 1 fewer gift than estimated since you first joined." :'(, but a dont to give up, an day i win the dream game.
I won 3 more gifts than estimated. I'm a lucky guy :)
another flat liner. STOP LETTING THE SG LIVES DIE PEOPLE. let it live on!
I haven't won much (compared to most people here), but my graph says I've won 5 more then estimated and I feel lucky overall. :)
You've won more than I have, some good games in there too!
ive hit a point that even if ive gone over my luck line im still unlucky with missing 1 gift so im not winning there. dont think ill ever get away from that 1 missing game. omg its now 3! i went from 1 then the other day it was 2 now its 3. in just less then a week i went from unluck to super unlucky. everytime i win something my luck gets worse.... i get that my last win was because i was the only 1 who entered but still
I'm not sure how it works but I think the graph takes into account how many people enter each GA. So if you're the only one to enter (you win ofc) your graph doesn't change because it expected 100% for one win.
If two people entered and you lost (50% chance) the graph would go down by 0.5.
If 1000 people enter and you lose the graph goes down by 0.001. I think it's something like that.
my graph has mainly stayed green while also telling me you suck at winning
The graph says that with five fewer wins I'm unlucky. I, however, feel the absolute opposite - I won some of the games I wanted to win and I'm pretty satisfied with my luck here so far.
Yeah you've won a lot of good games from public GA's. Very lucky I would say!
According to SGTools, more than 81% of my wins come from public giveaways, 15% from private and just under 3% from Whitelist GAs. But that public number is so large because I don't do groups. I'm very thankful to all the people who have me on their Whitelists (you included), but groups? No, not interested.
Never really used SGTools, easy enough to find that kinda stuff out?
Go here and search by gifts won.
87% non bundled games and 67% group wins, much higher than I expected!
It's 81% unbundled for me. But I think that speaks more about how selective you are about giveaways that you're entering. Cheap bundle games will lower that parameter while actually worthwhile games will keep it at higher percentage level.
And it's just 2,8% group wins on my side. And those aren't exactly group wins but whitelist ones as they are counted under the same name.
One year ago, I was around +8, now I am -14.
EDIT: I still voted "lucky" because I won a few great games over the years and I'm thankful for them.
and how many you have won this year? :D lucky lucky :P
Overall, you've been unlucky, and won 2 fewer gifts than estimated since you first joined.
First graph I've seen that looks more like mine and not all wavy!
yesterday I won 10gibs, my overall didnt bulge from -11, bit later won additional one and now it's 11! yay :D this month because of last 24h went from -0,4 to +0,8 :D yes, I am lucky
so the stats doesnt matter much, and I guess we will have keep those posts coming as long as it will be there
10 wins in ONE DAY holy cow!!!
not my record, and I am still 11 'under', so the stats are lying, I am lucky :P
Unlucky, I suppose I don't enter as many giveaways or haven't as much lately.
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Lol that bit with a green line but still a red dot, its so flat even the graph doesn't know what to do! XD
I've got everyone beat, won 66 fewer gifts than estimated. :/
I consider winning anything at all to be extremely lucky, and I'm grateful for that.
To want or expect more feels greedy to me.
Yeah 770 wins would be pushing it a bit! :D
won 1 fewer gift than estimated :(
That's not too bad, good luck for this month! :D
didnt realise today is my cakeday and my birthday is yesterday，what a coincidence
Pretty much as predicted. I was into the unlucky range, but just won two in a few hours.
Oddly enough I like being unlucky - it makes me feel like I’m due for a win. Gambler’s fallacy, I know, but it keeps me going through periods of bad luck!
Its states that i am unlucky and won 5 fewer gifts than estimated, but i think otherwise and feeling pretty lucky myself, won some very nice games in a short time that i was here.