What does "Estimated Wins" mean?

estimate, noun (plural estimates)

1. A rough calculation or guess.

estimate, verb (third-person singular simple present estimates, present participle estimating, simple past and past participle estimated)

1. To calculate roughly, often from imperfect data.
2. To judge and form an opinion of the value of, from imperfect data.

Its calculated based on the giveaways you've entered, and the percentage chance of winning based on the number of people who entered those giveaways. Based on those probabilities of winnings, its how many gifts your estimated to have won. It serves no practical value beyond demonstrating how un/lucky a user is.

Estimated Wins

This is a number calculated by the chance you had of winning each giveaway you have entered. If you entered a giveaway with a 50% chance of winning, your Estimated Wins will increase by 0.5, no matter if you won or lost. This number is no indication that you should have won that many games, it is simply to allow you to see if you are more or less lucky than what the odds allow.

From the Guide to winning on SteamGifts, for new users

Haha, my estimate wins level is lower than actual wins count.

Thank you :D

Estimated Wins

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