Actually, that 100% chance was shown for the day AFTER Fake Colors ended, for some odd reason. Fake Colors ended Monday, the 100% chance showed Tuesday for me.
And the stats I was asking is the straight line of 0%-1%.
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How odd. Maybe my time setting got messed up because it's never been off before.
Edit- just looked and it's still fine.
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Ah, I gotcha. It's the same deal for me here for GA times. I think the giveaway times are based upon what the website pulls from your browser data (at least that's how I understood it in the settings menu). By any chance do you know which time zone "server time" is based in?
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You do realize that even while winning a giveaway it adds to the estimated wins? I'm not sure how the stats rounds up or down but lets use an example: Say you have estimated wins of 2.3 and you have won 3 giveaways. Rounded it would mean 2 to 3 telling you are lucky cause you won +1 more giveaways then estimated. Now you win another giveaway with a total of 2 entries (so you have a 50 % winning chance which will add to your estimated wins). Your new stats look like this: Estimated 2.8 and won 4 or rounded 3 to 4. Even after winning you have still just won +1 more giveaways then estimated. At one point those two stats will automatically catch up.
As for the second. Let's say you entered another 6 giveaways with low entries (for example 2 => more 50 % winning chances). So now you have 3 more estimated wins => new stats estimated 6, won 4 which means you are unlucky by -2. So if you entered a lot of low entries giveaway this last week the stats seem to be correct.
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ARGH! MATH HEADACHE!!!
Sorry, but math was always my worst point so numbers like that are lost on me. But I appreciate the try.
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Does anyone else think that the stats page is broken these days?
One week ago I won a copy of Fake Colors (last thing I won bit I digress) and the luck per month stat said that I was at the exact amount (not more and not less AKA 0) estimated. Now, a week later it's stating that I am at 3 games under the estimated. Shouldn't that take almost a month to get to?
And is anyone else getting current stats like these? And yes I have things entered for these days with low entries.
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