Some of the most active groups on Steamgifts joined me in my new year's resolution to dump excess baggage, namely to dump all the excess bundle game keys we've accumulated over time! So that we can welcome 2016 with a little spring cleaning of... you guessed it, a train of exactly 2016 giveaways!

The first 2000 games are bundle games, the last 16 games are non-bundle games, protected from dumb bots by a simple puzzle that requires using 8 tokens that can be found throughout the train to form an ITH URL.

Without further ado, here is the beginning of the 2k16 Bundle Dump Express! And for those who'd like to take a break, there are express entries at the beginning of each of the groups' segments.

Express Entry # of GAs (from - to) Group Page
Let's Train 149 (1 - 149) Group Page
Charitable Losers 153 (150 - 302) Recruiting Thread
Arise for Exercise 185 (303 - 487) Group Page
Touhou Giveaways 208 (488 - 695) Website
Y-Utopia 215 (696 - 910) Group Page
Ni Dieu, Ni Maître 231 (911 - 1141) Group Page
Bundle Addicts Anonymous 297 (1142 - 1438) Recruiting Thread
Bundle Quest 562 (1439 - 2000) Website
Last 16 GAs 16 (2001 - 2016) Generous Contributors of 16 NB games!

GA level requirements start at level 1+ and slowly increase within each group's segment, so that you know when you can stop paying attention...

No BLACKLIST drama please. There's a simple workaround: logout of Steamgifts (or use a browser where you're not logged on), then you can see all the train connections.

8 years ago*

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all 30 gibs sent (one has a private profile, so i'm waiting)

8 years ago
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Thank you lovelies! I won a few gibs thanks to this!

8 years ago
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Thanks for the ride to the dump, all you kind forum dwellers!

8 years ago
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I win nothing

8 years ago
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Won 9 including Dishonored, very cool! Thank you again for being awesome :)

8 years ago
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9/2016 = nice ;)

8 years ago
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I did the math and got the following result. I entered 1129 giveaways during this event with the average number of entries equal 195. So, my average probability to win is 1/195=0.00513. Multiplying this probability by the number of giveaways I entered we get 0.00513*1129=5.79, which is the estimated number of games I should have won. So, yes, 9 wins is really awesome :) I took the mean as average number of entries, which is of course a bit naïve approach, but still it is better than nothing I guess :)

8 years ago
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not sure you can do that.
cause the GA are not dependent...

but my statistics are vague - long ago

8 years ago
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Well, exactly because GAs are not dependent events, we can apply this simple model to calculate the probability. Looking at one sample (i.e. one user) it may appear vague, but I think if we randomly take a couple of hundreds users we will see a well shaped Gaussian bell curve. Probably, I will check it some day :)

8 years ago
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I meant that you cannot multiple... Cause each GA is on it's own

8 years ago
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Formally, that's true and I agree with you. But for a simple model that will do :)

8 years ago
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Ok, I just did the math in a better way. I calculated the sum of probabilities for each giveaway I entered and divided it by the total amount of my entries and got 0.00711, which is my real average probability of a win. Again, multiplying it by the total amount of my entries we get 8.03. So, 1 extra win for me and I am still on the right side of Gaussian distribution, splendid!

8 years ago*
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I did not take into account that some giveaways contained multiple copies. However I guess there were not many of such ones, so the calculations are still pretty much valid.

8 years ago
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Did you take into account that you may have entered multiple giveaways for the same game but can only win one? ;)

8 years ago
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Until the giveaway is marked as received, you may win multiple copies of the same game actually. In this case, you will have to ask for a reroll.

8 years ago
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I know. This was just meant to make your calculation even more complicated. Hence the ;)

8 years ago
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I won 6 games in this train, so thank you very much! I'll have to buy several games to give back to make up for this ;)

8 years ago
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5/1800 or so ^_^
not bad considering the odds, though the lack of points was horrible :D

8 years ago
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I got disappointed knowing I wouldn't be able to enter all 2016. But I won 9 games in total so it's not too bad haha. Thank you!

8 years ago
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9? loool :P that's some super luck over there..!

8 years ago
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I enter only few GA (Games that i like) and win nothing! :P

Thanks anyway and congrats for a great event! :)

8 years ago
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I won 3 games including Banished (which was on my wishlist for quite a while). Many thanks for this great train event!

8 years ago
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I win nothing

8 years ago
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me 2 sad - entered obout over 100 i think
thank you for the great Event anyway! :)

8 years ago
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Only entered a few, won nothing but it's okay event was impressive!

8 years ago
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I entered about 500 giveaways and won nothing... Well, I win enough on this site, so don't mind sharing with others :)

8 years ago
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0 !!

8 years ago
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I entered about 250 GAs and won 2 and both were wishlisted so I can't complain.
All I have to do is gibs now.

8 years ago
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0/~142 XD
Thanks for all the hard works, nice community event ^^

8 years ago
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0 unfortunately, awesome event, must have been a lot of work to set it up.

8 years ago
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I entered around 250 and won 2 :)

8 years ago
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won 5, though had no idea how many i joined, i joined randomly among the many train sections, lol.

did win sanctuaryrpg and looking forward to test that :D

8 years ago
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Well, the truth is I entered countless GAs here and did win 2 small indies after all, which was a nice surprise for a change. :)

In comparison, in all the other major events that I joined in the last month (full labyrinth, pyramid to the top, lottery and some others), I won none. :P And some of these required enormous amounts of time to complete. :(

I guess the RNG is so crazy and unpredictable that you can never predict anything. I got super lucky yesterday for example on winning a public GA out of 1750 entries (deadlight) so yeah, I think my luck has been exhausted for now due to that one. :O

Thanks for this great event and the countless GAs in it ! xD

8 years ago
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Best event of this year so far, i won 6 GA. Now time to giveback :3
Thank you for event organizer and all the contributor, i love you all :D

8 years ago
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i won 4 games, its my first time won more than 1 ga in day.

8 years ago
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It's 8, thanks for big 2016, wish you guys lucky and happy

8 years ago
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I won 11. Thanks everyone who contributed :)

8 years ago
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None >.< But the event was awesome anyway :D Thank you to all contributors!

8 years ago
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Closed 8 years ago by Perm.