You won 5 or more games for 1 month?
enter GA with less entries. nothing else is happening
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Dude, there is no disbalance or such any thing, you just have to enter giveaways with less entries and be active so you won't miss any good chance, its about luck aswell.
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It's all about probability. If you entered GA for 1 copy of game with 10 entries you have 1/10=10% chance to win and, accordingly, 100%-10%=90% chance to lose. So you can win nothing even by regular entering of such GAs with low amount of entries. The probability of entering 100 GAs with 10 entries and winning nothing in a row is VERY low (but still exists :D). Approximately it's 0.9(didn't win the 1st GA)*0.9(2nd)*...*0.9(1000th) ~ 0.0000266 = 0.00266%
. I wrote approximately, because I'm not sure that every single win/lose event are ideally independent, while the written formula is right only for independent events. The same thing for 100 GAs with 100 entries (which are easier and more realistic to find) will give ~36.6%. It's a significant chance not to win anything. So don't be surprised if you win not after entering the 100th GA with about 100 entries, but after 300th (5% that you won't win any of them).
All you need to do in order to win more is to maximize your probability of win. You can do it by entering GAs with lower amount of entries. Factors which influence this are: level restrictions (the higher is minimum level needed for GA - the lower is amount of entries), groups (there are lots of them), whitelists (participate in the community), hidden GAs (lurk the forums), puzzles (you can google zelghadis guide for solving puzzles), etc.
To be brief: participate in the community :) Good luck!
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There is a theorem about dinosaur: if you go outside, there is 50% probability that you'll meet a dinosaur on the street.
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I haven't won anything for over two years, because I haven't entered any giveaways for over two years. Comparing the number of giveaways entered is a better measure than comparing registration time. Even that is flawed, as has been said (not all giveaways have the same chance).
You're giving quite a lot (well done!) and soon you'll be eligible for Delta's group. That could help you win a little more.
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Add a '/' to the end of your link or it won't work D:
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If you look at my wins, you will see that about 85% of them have fewer than 30 entries in total. In other words, fewer entries means a better chance of winning.
As for the "spikes" where I win many games in a short period of time, that is due to the Simultaneous Giveaways events in which I participate. Again, there's no magic there, just a reduced number of entries.
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Yes 25 wins after 3 month would be many...if those are all public GA with now or low-level restriction....so there is more the question those...or maybe that one example you are referring to...did he/she enter group , private whatever GAs with low entries....it´s easy for you to check this and answer the question yourself.
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Stop making giveaways and leech the shit out of Steamgifts, you have over 3000$ worth of games to win until aaaanyone can accuse you of leeching. Considering winning 1$ more than sent is leeching. :D
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Dude, you'd deserve to win games, you have given so much it's time to receive!
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There's a huge difference between shown CV and real CV though.
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Yeah, I am talking about shown CV tho. If you consider real CV he still has given an aweful lot more than he won.
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I know, right? That's why I'm saying keep feeding those people and think for yourself a bit here.
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Like I said here: You have to enter into giveaways with low entrant counts, seek out invite-only giveaways on the forums (including puzzles), and get in groups or on whitelists in order to maximize your chances.
It's all about probability. The fewer the entrants, the higher your chances are at winning. You decide how to spend your points and which giveaways to enter. If you want to win more games, enter the least-entered giveaways. If you want to win giveaways you want, enter into the giveaways you want regardless of entrant count.
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0 You're wasting your time in open giveaways if you're trying to win
1 join a small group
2 giveaway there
3 and likely win.
Entering a group-GA with only 20 entries is a 5% chance pretty damn high ...
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Some people, i see, win 24 games for 3 months (after registration). I won 1 game for 2 years. There disbalance? Or just some kind of "blacklist", for Russia, for example (sanctions or other reasons)?
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