You won 1 of every 140.83 you enter.
That is pretty close to 1%
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Giveaways Entered:4,940
Gifts won: 38
So my procent of win is approx. 0.77%
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ur right. I missclicked the digits on the google calc
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thats not quite the right math ,
your chances of winning a gib are copies/entries
0.25% is your success rate
16/5542 so im at 0.29% ;)
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I've won 5 out of 5303, which has been a steady 1/1000 for me.
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105/20979 so about 0.5%, seems better than the 1/300 that I thought it was.
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Entered: 27,181, won: 358.
But I think the math is not that easy. You should consider the number of people who entered. As a high level contributor, you have chances to enter GAs with fewer people. On the other hand, you might only enter for games you really want to play - that would probably mean: fewer entries, but often with more competitors. Or you might be interested in games just for farming cards. Then you enter for games with much less competition.
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Doesn't change the number of fails, only the reasons.
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The ratio of favorable coin flips and the % of the time you won mega-millons both measure 'wins' but they aren't exactly interchangeable. Some total-participant metric can measure in percentages that are reasonably comparable, but this wins to entries isn't really that much more informative than something like wins over time.
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Fancy new hi-def avatar!
Or at least, I haven't seen it before.
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as a frog stal-*cough* observer, ᵏᵉʳᵒ can vouch that it is a fairly recent change ¦3
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Thanks! I think its been about a week or so, since I switched from the christmas version I had up :)
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As others have said, you've calculated your success rate, not your chances of winning (or your "expected wins" like is calculated in your luck per month.
My success rate is just under a half-percent, but much better since I've become much more selective about what GAs I enter.
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19 wins out of 10951 entries, so 0.17%
Last thing I won was over 3 years ago and most of them had way under 1000 entries, not sure really why I still come here from time to time.
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Entered 11260, won 28, seems to be 402:1. Happy days :)
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11 wins from 4451 entries gives me a 0.247% success rate.
According to the stats page, they estimate I should have won seven more gifts since I joined. Meh. I got free games and gave free games in return. Good enough for me.
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Currently, I am at 8,855 entered and 61 won.
Bringing my percentage won to a whopping ~0.69% ;)
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0.76%
Would have been 0.857%, if luck wouldn't matter.
If you wonder about the second calculation: (Won games + What SG lists as your overall discrepancy under "luck per month") / entered giveaways
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So funny enough i joined 1527 giveaways, wining 4, so that means my chances of wining a giveaway are 1 of each 381.75, that is basically almost 0.25%
Found it curious, so i said, hey, why not talk about it? How many giveaways have YOU won?
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