lol I know what historical means, but how is it determined? For instance there is only 1 April 21st 2016. What historical data are they using?
Comment has been collapsed.
Even a minute in tjhe past of the same day is historical of 1 april?
Comment has been collapsed.
I think I just don't understand. I'll just move along. Thanks for trying to help me all. Have a giveaway if you don't have it yet.
Comment has been collapsed.
Okay, let me try again.
You enter giveaways all the time, right? Each of them run for a different amount of time.
The statistic looks at your list of entered giveaways. Then for, let's say, it check which one of those ended on April 2nd. For an example, you entered 20 giveaways that ended between 0:00 and 23:59 of April 2nd.
Then, it checks individually how many people entered those giveaways. Let's say all of them had exactly 100 people entering for the game.
So, it calculates that you had 1% chance to win one of the giveaways. Then it adds the chance to win the second giveaway, and the third, and so on. So altogether you had 20×1=20% chance to win at least one of those giveaways on that exact date.
Same goes for long-term predictions. The site checks which giveaways will end on a certain future date, let's say tomorrow, and checks the current number of entries in them. So if you entered for 10 giveaways that will end tomorrow with currently exactly 100 people in them as well, the site predicts you have 10×1% chance to win something tomorrow.
Comment has been collapsed.
I get that part I think. That is the grey dot.
I don't get what is different about the blue dot. Chances of winning is the chances of winning. For instance I have a 34% chance (blue) and a 41% chance (grey) today. What confuses me is how there could be 2 difference chances. The guy above said historical (which doesn't make sense that there even could be historical data).
Comment has been collapsed.
Hostrical means percentage of winning determined by how many giveaways you entered and your chances in each entry.
For example if you entered one giveaway in the past 30 days and the giveaway had less than 100 entries. Then your blue dot will say something like %1 winning
That's how I understand it, might be wrong though.
Comment has been collapsed.
Yea. nothing wrong with your explanation. I just don't get it.
Comment has been collapsed.
21 Comments - Last post 7 minutes ago by adam1224
8,472 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by FranckCastle
1 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by Axelflox
59 Comments - Last post 3 hours ago by nguyentandat23496
1,078 Comments - Last post 5 hours ago by Gamy7
2 Comments - Last post 5 hours ago by Chris76de
2,065 Comments - Last post 7 hours ago by Wok
103 Comments - Last post 9 minutes ago by Kyrrelin
10 Comments - Last post 35 minutes ago by ormax3
10,375 Comments - Last post 51 minutes ago by lav29
348 Comments - Last post 57 minutes ago by 2441805473
12 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by RGVS
3 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by Provos
34 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by EyeofArrow
I am curious what the blue dot and the grey dot mean on the chances to win stats section. Anyone know?
For anyone, if I reply to your answer with a question, I am not arguing, just trying to understand.
GA in the comments somewhere.
Comment has been collapsed.