Which gives you higher chances of winning, or are they the same?

5 copies of game, but 1000 entries
or
1 copy of game, but only 200 entries.

9 years ago

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StatisticsBasic math says it's the same.

9 years ago
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Same chances

9 years ago
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1 copy for 200 entries mean chance 1/200.
5 copies for 1000 entries mean chance 5/1000 = 1/200
Goodluck

9 years ago*
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You might want to brush up on your math skills.

9 years ago
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Take it easy, please... Everyone have different skills

9 years ago
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being able to divide one number by another number, sitting in front of your PC with calculator preinstalled with your OS isn't basically a skill anyone should be lacking...

9 years ago
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U need know enough to operate machine or programm. In this case u need to have small part of knowlednge of Probability theory.

9 years ago
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we ae in the internet, on gaming community, I guess basic PC usage (as basic as to run a Calc app) is a common knowledge here.

As for probability theory - not really - if it was to be about multiiple chances, conditional chances etc - yeah sure, but knowledge of 1 from 10 being 1/10 th is elementary-school level and the beggining of it actually

9 years ago
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People are different. Relax man

9 years ago
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I am pretty relaxed, and just countering arguments you post in a relaxed fashion. No idea what you're reffering to.

9 years ago
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Fractions are usually introduced in grade 3 or 4.

9 years ago
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Grade 4? really? lol at murican education system ;p I've had fractions introduced at the end of 2nd grade and more complex operations, like dividing fractions by each other or finding a common denominator in 3rd. 2-3 grade out of 8 is a beggining of elem school.

9 years ago
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There is a lot of variance within U.S. schools. Public schools usually introduce fractions at the end of 2nd grade with manipulation (+, -, *, /) in 3rd grade, but this can be delayed until 4th grade if the situation requires it. Private schools tend to push the curricula faster as they have a less diverse student population. Public schools pretty much have to accept anyone that applies, including those who don't have any prior schooling and/or knowledge of English.

Public schools usually go Kindergarten - 6th grade with 7-8th grades being Junior High School and 9-12th grades being High School. Some schools group 7 and 8th grade with the primary grades (K-6), and others group 7-9th grades. Private schools can do anything they want in regard to grouping. In the end, it mostly depends on location/student population and budget.

9 years ago
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I'll have to agree with Zelg on this one. It's just basic math, nothing very complicated. :P

9 years ago
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Not quite.

9 years ago
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The vast majority of the population, while adept at simple maths, are not so good at figuring out the required computations (which is why so many people in this thread were in error). This is why so many of us hate "word problems."

9 years ago
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Agree - it is a elementary school knowledge )

9 years ago
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I can breath..I'm very good at it..so far..

9 years ago
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wow, good job. I myself am not a very good breather. sometimes I forget to do it and just start choking on nothing.

9 years ago
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hah faulty piece

9 years ago
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The way I see it... 1 in 200 gives you 0.5% chance, 5 in 1000 gives you 0.501% chance (1/1000+1/999+1/998+1/997+1/996). 5 in 1000 only gives 0.5% chance if one person can win all 5 copies.

9 years ago
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^hated that middle school question. You can tell, since i still remember it plus the day.

9 years ago
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Edit: As Sewaz corrected me, my calculations were slightly off. Since we do need unique picks, the chances are the same. The original calculations assumed that the same number could be picked more than once.

Possibility of not winning the 1 copy with 200 entries is 199/200. Possibility of winning it is 1 - (199/200) so 1 in 200, or 0.5%
Possibility of not winning the 5 copies with 1000 entries is 999/1000 998/1000 997/1000 996/1000 995/1000 which is equal to ~197/200.
Possibility of winning it is 1 - (197/200) so 3 in 200, or 1.5%. 3 times higher than the 1 in 200.

9 years ago*
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You are wrong: The 5 winners are picked up at the same time, so it's 5/1000

9 years ago*
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True, slight miscalculation.
Chance of not winning is 999/1000 998/999 997/998 996/997 995/996 since the same number can't be picked twice. So chance of not winning is 995/1000, so 199 in 200.
The difference is not that they are picked at the same time, but that they must be unique.

Still, thank you for correcting me, fixing previous comment.

9 years ago
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I noticed I miscalculated something, so I edited my post :p I'm sorry

9 years ago
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nice. you are obviously correct. haven't though about it.

9 years ago
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Nice observation! At first I didn't see the mistake in your previous comment :)

9 years ago*
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It would be essentially the same. I don't know how SG calculates, but assuming unique winners are chosen, which I believe is the case (either because of reroll for duplicate winners or exclusion of winners from the pool for the next draw), you should have the exact same odds unless there's a quirk with the selection mechanism.

9 years ago
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the only think you should have is luck, you should be lucky as hell... once I had 549 entries on 726 and I lost, I watched the winner of the giveaway and he only put 10 entries in it... How unfair it was ^^'

9 years ago
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these threads never fail to amaze me

9 years ago
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You have an near unnoticeable higher chance of winning the 5 copies of 1000 entries @ a .501% chance in relation to the 200 copies at 1 entry at .5% chance.

9 years ago
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5:1000 is 1:200

However in the off chance of a re roll, the new odds would be;

1:199 vs 1:995

9 years ago
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I'm happy to win anything on this site, chances are really small whatever the numbers are, like in lotteries like Lotto or EuroMillion. I have 3,490 entries and i won 12 games using the site commonly practically twice a day in 6 months, but i only enter the giveaways for games that really want my mate have 5000 entries and he got only one game this is unreal bad luck for him. But he is entering any giveaway just too zero his points, maybe this is the point site see what you have on your wish list and sometimes it gives you what you want. :) Mathematics poopmathics. Chances are the same for everyone on this site whatever the numbers are.

9 years ago
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I nearly failed my statistics class, but shouldn't the winning chances of a five-copy giveaway have these factors:

1/1,000
1/999
1/998
1/997
1/996

Just dividing 1,000 by five can't be right. There are ~1,000 entrants per draw, not 200.

9 years ago
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Correct. See above.

9 years ago
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5 in 1000 gives a better chance of winning, but the difference is negligible. Also, probability does not determine success. In the long run, winning is simply a matter of perseverance.

9 years ago
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its always 50:50 , you win or you dont win :)

9 years ago
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21

9 years ago
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2nd option obviously, as you could win that game 5 times instead of just once !!!

:randomsmileyfacegoeshere*

9 years ago
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