Hi there!

I've been searching for an statistic in profiles that shows how many games one should have won (statistically), based on giveaways entered and the chance of winning it. For example: if i would join a giveaway with only 2 people, including me, this value would raise 0,5.

I saw this number once, but now i'm searching for it and can't seem to find it. Is it gone?

P.S.: sorry for occasional bad english, it's not my primary language.

10 years ago*

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It's been (temporarily?) removed to improve site performance.

10 years ago
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I really hope its only temporary.. I love statistics and it was great for explaining those "I entered 150 GAs and didn´t win anything"-people why they can NOT be considered "unlucky".

10 years ago
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Yep same for me, i considered it a fun little meta game, once i won something i'd look at the number there and if i'd win again before it increased by 1 i'd consider myself extra lucky that day, it's also really good to keep your hopes up if you're only joining AAA giveaways since it might take months for you to actually join enough of them to win one.

10 years ago
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But then we'd have to deal with all of the threads saying "i have 1.01 estimated wins where is my game". No matter what happens people are going to complain.

10 years ago
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I don't recall that happening at the time. We did have a lot of threads saying "why i no win :C" made by people who ignore their tiny estimated wins value.

10 years ago
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It used to be there, but it's now removed for supposedly causing server overload.

It might be back in SteamGifts v2, or it might be gone, forever...

10 years ago
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R.I.P Estimated wins

10 years ago
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Estimated is gone but there's a UserScript around here that can help you with learning your chances for an ongoing GA...

10 years ago
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Closed 10 years ago by RuFleS.