150+ Fails in giveaways with 0 wins normal?

Entered: 2,398
Won: 7

I used to be a loser (as in losing giveaways, not as in, you know, a loser at life) like you until I took an arrow to the knee, and now I win every day.

Seriously, though, the best way is to give back to the community. Buy a bundle and give away some of the games you don't want. Join a group. Or just lurk on the message board for random key drops. If you're good at puzzles you can enter the puzzle giveaways, which usually have lower number of people in them and better chances.

Good luck and don't lose hope!

You should be glad you didn't waste your luck pool on useless games. Too many wins here, and you'll be left with no luck for the rest of your life!

(Seriously though, steamgifts should have the basics of probability theory in the FAQ. There are too many threads like this)

~1500 or more and no win :)

150 is nothing. Try 10009+

heh dude...i entered almost 6k won 10 hehe

this site is a scam

also thanks for skyrim

I miss the "Estimated Wins" statistic. Does anyone still have that old screenshot of Khalaq's profile?

I have about 13k giveaways entered and won 9. Don't complain.

"Registered: 2 months ago"

Says it all.

I won my first game after more than 600 GA.

150? That's all? And you are complaining? It takes time. I think I was around 350 when I won my first. I'm now at almost 4K (after the wipe, close to 8K if you count the wipe) and just won my 20th game a few hours ago.

Why do so many people have no idea about basic probability, do schools not teach it any more?.

If you enter GAs with say 500 entries you have a 1 in 500 chance of winning so on average after 500 entries. You might also take 1000000 entries to win or just 1.

I'm at nearly 1400 entries with 2 wins - and one of those was a developer giveaway with hundreds of copies. My win rate is about 0.15% and judging by what other people are saying, that sounds like it's about average.

If you enter giveaways with ~1000 entries each then your odds of losing 150 giveaways in a row is approximately 86%. So it's nothing to be concerned about - you're likely to win games eventually, you just need to enter more often.

Entered
5,533
Won
17

So yeah, cant complain XD

The chances are (self explaining) higher if you enter games with lower entries. And of course some people with lots wins won them of group- and/or invited-only give-aways, you can see the list on every users profile.
If you only enter Hitmand giveaways, well,.. They always got over 1k+ entries. Why not buying it for 1$ on HB? :D

By the way: Entered: 600; Won: 2 (one of them was from a friend with only 4 other entries)

If the average chance is 1/800 that you win something, than you would only have a chance of ~17% to actually win once or multiple times after 150 tries. So yeah, it's normal.

ive entered about 15,000 giveaways and only won 111 times. you will get used to going long periods with no wins

Entered:357
Won: 1

I got 1 game out of 500 trys.

Guess thats OK'ish since it was a game i actually wanted.

Tho i only enter for games i actually want anyway ;P

entered : 517
Won: 0
Given away: 3

*you're