16 Comments - Last post 37 seconds ago by Mayanaise
612 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by Wok
47 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by pandakat
233 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by paco7533
627 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by meho50
17,321 Comments - Last post 6 hours ago by Carenard
47,462 Comments - Last post 13 hours ago by pizzahut
3 Comments - Last post 9 minutes ago by Mayanaise
1 Comments - Last post 18 minutes ago by VicViperV
168 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by yannbz
1,731 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by 3d0m
7,084 Comments - Last post 1 hour ago by 3d0m
145 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by shandyseggs
30,771 Comments - Last post 2 hours ago by Jostaahh
Hi all, I just had a wow moment that made me ask this question.
I just had the same person win two giveaways with 394 and 438 entries that ended 1 minute apart. The probability of that happening is 0.0000058 assuming randomness (or pseudo randomness w/ an algo and seed).
I've also noticed that when I win, I also often win in bunches. That can happen with randomness for sure, but it feels a bit clustery sometimes.
I'm curious, do any of you get the feeling that maybe winning isn't random on a per giveaway basis, but maybe some days you're streaky? Just curious.
And I'm not insinuating anything improper is going on, I'm just trying to understand if something about the selection algorithm might make streakiness more probable? Is it a simple rand(n), where n is # of entrants, or is it perhaps somehow tied to particular user id's on certain days that makes winning more probable? If it's been explained somewhere that'd be cool to read. thanks
EDIT: Link to Poll as provided by rred (thanks)
http://strawpoll.me/6225603
Comment has been collapsed.