Counter-Strike 2 items and market prices

Price is dropping but not for all items.

Every week a Case is dropped for each player playing the game...
So is normal that if its more Cases in market the price decrease, that can pass with every item that increase their existences (stock). More stock less value.
But that is not the case with very rare drops skin from cases. Or others skins that are Not very rare, but are very demanded, like nice skins, shinny ones, or the ones that uses the streamers and pros, etc...
at least this is my experience over 10 years of cs, skins and items market.

The more common cases drop in price as you're pretty much guaranteed to get one every week. Though the ones that have a very low drop chance (those outside of the active drop pool) still keep their price, especially the CS:GO weapon case and Bravo Case.

I mean, no operation in 2+ years(?) and no relevant new content since forever, going from csgo to cs2 players have lost arms race, danger zone, tons of community mods and support, premier is full of cheaters, the new ranking system is worse than the previous one, etc. and the mod team is being completely absent about it unless they're showing off on twitter or reddit about some really insignificant performance thing they have fixed, which will just break again in 2 weeks, instead of having spent those 2 weeks working towards again, an operation. Also no new tournaments, etc. If the game receives no support from the devs, why should people invest into it, and why should those who have invested not sell their items? Gaben is busy giving love to dota 2, but it's CS that carried the platform until now. Also the new drop system makes it easier to get certain drops or rarer drops basically, since now you choose from a pool of 4 items instead of random 2 and set, so now people can optimize to get the best items(although they're most of the time pretty bad and that's normal).

So coming from someone who looked at the market for a long time, unless they start making some changes to bring some of those old features back, and provide some new engaging content, I can imagine the game will keep on dying, which is probably what they want despite how much money it generates them, as they have only gotten in problems with csgo over the years and the market. My guess is it's going to just get worse, as the recent tournaments for instance have had millions of capsules sold. Millions, yet, only a few thousand have been applied. I remember seeing an inventory with 100k items for the paris tournament.

On top of all this, add the release of new games like lethal company, palworld, etc. giving players who have been craving some update or anything for 2+ years, and they finally have a reason to be afk from the game, sell their skins to buy other games, etc. Plus of course, the winter sale, and upcoming sales.

hold until world war 4

check the player count and it will all make sense

Cases would go up but usually after a while for example I have a breakout case back like 10 years ago it worth like 0.05 cents, now it worth 5.91 $

the hype is dying, and maybe because palworld was launched so ppl sold their items