Is Steamgifts rigged?

Appreciate what you have, and you'll find that you yearn less for what you do not.

sorry, I sent MsKotor a pack of tentacles and she rigged it so your wins are autoredirected to me since last 2 years. Still waiting on those! start entering!!!!!!2111112!!!!

View attached image.

I used to have a similar problem until I joined a cult. Now my winnings have increased. 😀

Have you sacrificed a goat to our dark lord CG? If not, what did you expect?

This thread reminded me of that one guy who's convinced that Steamgifts has an elite class that serves to only give keys to members of the elite, with website administrator backing. Long ago, the guy violated the regifting rule. When confronted by staff, his response was that since he won them, the keys were now his, and therefore he could do whatever he wanted with them. Guy even has a blog post about it.

Depending on the giveaways you enter
More people = less chance obviously
or if they're multiple or single copy giveaways.
And also if you enter giveaways for games you only want vs everything then obviously as well lower chance

I can say its done fair, but then again i win like once every 1-2 months at least. And most things i enter are multiple copies giveaways
It is definitely a "high risk high reward" type of thing
some people are just luckier than others, one of my friends tried the site years ago and i told him to just "enter giveaways in his free time, don't take it seriously or don't expect to win instantly or anything AAA"
He tried for like a year, won 1 game and then decided its not worth it because even tho i told him not to he still expected to win way more often.

So i guess luck might just be building up for you, maybe the next thing you win will be a AAA game or something that is really low chance like 1:20000

Who knows mate ...

https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/community/users
Year Users ＋－
7 1149597 1179
6 1148418 1262
5 1147156 1120
4 1146036 1032
3 1145004 1524
2 1143480 1094
2022/1 1142386 1541
12 1140845 1938
11 1138907 1198
10 1137709 2616
9 1135093 1225
8 1133868 1310
2021/7 1132558

👀…ooO(2022/3 , 2022/10 what?)
Well, if you don't have the numbers, it becomes a conspiracy theory.

The number of users has not increased much over the past year.
In the second half of February this year, there was an incident in Ukraine, and it seems that the number of users increased a little because Russians were censored and those users joined to confirm the information.

What was last October...? I guess I am just forgetting, but I think some community event increased the number of people.

https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/community/users

Per Level
The total number of users in each contributor level.

Well... Look at the above section and add the number of people from lvl 3 to 10.
3 14028
4 12449
5 5803
6 3437
7 1975
8 639
9 519
10 428
total 39278

https://www.steamgifts.com/stats/community/giveaways

Per Level
The total number of giveaways that have been created for each level.

Create Giveaways...?
3 408651
4 277498
5 244927
6 121592
7 84997
8 33137
9 13015
10 6900
1,190,717
Hmm... 👀
The number of users for the number of Giveaways is much different, so the winning rate also increases.

Lv0 and Lv1 seemed to have occasional incidents involving bots and autojoins.
You would see people stating "please don't say thank you" or something along those lines.
And if you look at the past violations of Lv0 and Lv2 people on SGTools, about half of them have problems.
📝

Raising your lvl 3 or higher and accessing those prizes will do wonders to increase your odds of winning.
(Who has a higher win rate at Lv0 to Lv2? Not surprising if you are a group or Puzzle or Jigsaw enthusiast. If not, it is a wonder.)

Not sure if you were joking or actually serious about the rigged part, but if you were, think about it for a second. What actual advantages would there be for cg to "rig" Steamgifts to benefit some random user over you? They won't profit from this, and it's a lot of unnecessary work on the backend. As for the probability stuff, you already have too many examples above so I won't take a deep dive into your probabilities of winning a giveaway - I always give the same example when people complaint about not winning enough;

Imagine you take a d6 dice and pass it along a crowd and get them to roll until they get a 6. You could expect that they'll roll a 6 within 6 rolls, but in truth many will roll a 6 one their first, second, third, fourth or fifth time. Similarly, some people will roll 7, 8, 9, 10, etc. times without rolling a 6.

Now, I'm nowhere close to being adept in the topic of probability, but maybe that will shed some light on why some people may be seen as "lucky" or "unlucky" in a game of probability - I'd say for every "lucky" winner is an "unlucky" loser, but in average it balances out.

I haven't won anything since I hid all giveaways. Steamgifts is definitely broken.

All I can tell you is that is has nothing to do with how many giveaways you make, considering the ratio of most people who win any given giveaway

Only one entry a giveaway will win, when there is one only price, so i yes its rigged.

Enter more giveaways.

Registered 5 years ago

Giveaways Entered 91,750

Steamgifts? No. Steamgrifts on the other hand...

Giveaways Entered
102,885
Gifts Won
472 ($3,980.74)
Gifts Sent
251 ($4,229.50)

So i think it doesnt matter how much u give. But at higher levels u get less gibs for those high levels but also less entrants, so higher lvl gibs=higher chances to win

SteamGifts had taught me how utterly unlikely it is to win the lottery even if you entered a hundred times a day.

I'm facing the same issue... So...
Short answer: yes.
Long answer: yes, it is.

maybe with SG digital deluxe or ultimate edition chances of winning will be higher

It's not just about the total amount of giveaways you enter, but your % chance of winning as well.

I too got annoyed at never winning anything, so started paying attention to how many people had entered, and only joined giveaways for games i was interested in, had less than 1,000 entries, and was ending within a few hours.

This greatly increased my wins, to the point i was getting more games than i had time to play. So now i mainly enter for things on my wishlist, regardless of amount of entries, and poke a few other interesting games i've not heard of , that dont have too many entries. So my win rate is down to maybe 1 game a month.

You got your answer?