Surprise!

congrats toboty for winning, unless he does not add me back on steam in which case it goes out to mishvi.

1 decade ago*

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So you failed reading the faq first and now you fail in statistics and "common sense"? You will soon find out why posting this wasn't that smart.

1 decade ago
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Erm, I am on this site for a while, created couple of giveways from spare keys, but I have not won anything yet....

1 decade ago
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i took statistics into account. thats why the post. no need to be mean. why? am i going to be permabanned? im allright with that. Just making a comment on my situation and attempting to soothe others with the same situation.

chill your tits please, and have a good day.

1 decade ago
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You just have bad luck, get over it.

1 decade ago
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rolek, try entering giveaways with less amount of entries, it makes a huge difference.

1 decade ago
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Some people are not collectors so they don't just join any giveaway and usually good/cool games always have lots and lots of entries :)

1 decade ago
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i guess thats true.

1 decade ago
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i get that swift, i really do, but the stats just dont add up. I dont believe in luck.

1 decade ago
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You don't have to believe in luck if you know statistics. Hell the site even does the math for you. Your problem is your subjective perception.

1 decade ago
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Gifts Won: 9

Estimated Wins: 5.62

You're still in luck.

1 decade ago
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Pretty much this. Try to conversate it all you want, the math is built into the site and plain to see. You're actually luckier than nearly all regular users.

1 decade ago
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Is this a joke? Are you seriously whining about statstics when you were lucky to win something once a week in the past?

1 decade ago
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no mis, that number is like that because i enter giveaways with low number of entrants. instead of the average.

1 decade ago
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You know, there is a reply button on the comments.

1 decade ago
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A what button¿

1 decade ago
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There's a reply button, you know.

Your Estimated Wins number depends on the giveaway entry count as much as your actual wins do. So normal situation is EG = GW +/- 10%. I'm telling you, you are still in luck.

Check out my profile if you are still in doubt.

1 decade ago
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Huh? I really did get a gift! Far Cry 3: Blood Dragon! Wow! Thank you, salo!

Can't figure out what for though.

1 decade ago
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i just wanted a list of names to gift it to. and this worked out fine.

1 decade ago
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Your gifts won > Estimated wins, and you are complaining? really?

Also, you won the same game twice, and the winner of your 1-entry giveaway never activated the game... something looks bad here.

1 decade ago
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This, look at my wins vs. my estimated wins. xP

1 decade ago
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meh, private giveaways. in a forum with no people. whatcha gonna do T.T. keep reading

1 decade ago
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Its ok, I'm saying it looks bad, but its not your fault if the winner doesn't activate it :)

1 decade ago
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He already said he was banned for that in the first post.

1 decade ago
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He said he was banned for regifting...

1 decade ago
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Yep, re-gifting AirBuccaneers and presumably Dynamite Jack.

1 decade ago
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i like dack.

1 decade ago
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Nope. And use the reply function.

1 decade ago
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Flotilla, if you enter giveaways with lower number of people, i assure you youll win a ton too.

1 decade ago
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It's a conspiracy!

1 decade ago
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Random is random.

Or pseudo-random if you want to be an arse.
1 decade ago
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shiet. i cant keep up with the comments.

oh well, i dont know why you all are being so hostile about this? its not that big of an assumption to make if you look at the facts objectively. Whatever.

oh and, thank you all for looking at my topic (i guess)

OR WAS THIS ALL AN ELABORATE PLOY TO PLACE A PRIVATE GIVEAWAY HIDDEN SOMEWHERE.

1 decade ago
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wait. rules say no uplay codes. whatever, ill give it to someone who commented nicely at random.

obvious troll wasnt obvious? seriously?

1 decade ago
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Seemed pretty convincing to me. This seems more like back pedaling* now but that's just my opinion.

*damn you autocorrect!!

1 decade ago
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meh. i like getting people all uppity every once in a while. also, not being american, what the hell is back peddling.

1 decade ago
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I guess he means pedaling? I dunno.

1 decade ago
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Yup auto correct shanked me again haha

1 decade ago
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+1000

1 decade ago
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Facts objectively...that is your problem. You are too subjective.

You could have won your first 100 giveaways no matter how the chances were,there is no rule resulting that you win your next 100 giveaways,too. In fact with your 9 wins you are already way above your average and that's why you were lucky in the beginning.

1 decade ago
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him. he is funny too.

1 decade ago
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wow.
PS: Spam you know

1 decade ago
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"Registered: 2 months ago
Gifts won: 9
Estimated wins: 5.62"
And you're complaining? Do you want a poney too?
It is random.
Doesn't matter if it's 20 or 2000 entries... Entering giveaways with a few entries doesn't make you an instant winner.
Have a nice day.

1 decade ago
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aight. imma stop the entries at nivo because i have a feeling its gonna get ridiculous. for the record. i would have made a regular giveaways but steamgifts does not accomodate for uplay giveaways (which is what amd sent me) and i have no interest in blood dragon.

ill delete the topic after the winner confirms they got the thing. (you cant activate it til the game comes out)

1 decade ago
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Yup. Best to close this before you just get branded a whiner (may be too late).

1 decade ago
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i gotta make sure he gets it first. and its not like i mind being called a whiner by peeps on the intranets

1 decade ago
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Nonsense, I've been banned for a month over a comment made in the steam group chat and have won 7 giveaways since. If anything, my luck has increased.

edit Apparently this was all a ruse to hide a private giveaway.

1 decade ago
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For a month? Damn...

1 decade ago
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Was initially a permanent ban over something that another chat moderator had said was okay. I talked it down to a month. Meh, it's all done by volunteers giving up their time for free, you can't complain.

1 decade ago
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You do realize that your estimated wins takes into account the number of people competing against you in the giveaways, right? You still have a ridiculously high winrate and yet are complaining about it.

1 decade ago
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I'm calling bullshit on you calling bullshit. Sorry. There isn't an evil demon out to get you and ruin your chances of winning.

1 decade ago
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http://prntscr.com/12zcdl

congrats toboty.

1 decade ago
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All I see is that you were really lucky to begin with..winning at least once a week? Damn I wish that would happen to me. And now your luck streak has ended so you're crying about it. Get over it.

1 decade ago
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if toboty doesnt accept the steam invite itl go out to number 2 on that list. he has 5 minutes because i have to go eat.

1 decade ago
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Just have to say: well played, sir. Excellent trolling, and I really missed your giveaway. :)

1 decade ago
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thanks :D mishvi already got it, farcry blooddragon :P

1 decade ago
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Closed 1 decade ago by salosalosalosalo.