23,707 entries and 130 wins gives me a win ever 183 entries. Truly simple math, entries divided by wins, gives you average amount of entries needed to win.
But i dont enter giveaways with over 1,000 entries for the most part, and collect games that i share with my family and children, so end up entering for more games than are on my wishlist, and avoid the ton of graphic adult games that are everywhere.
I find some really cool games i'd unlikely find if not for this site.
Really hoping i get work in the next few weeks so i can do some giveaways and add to the awesomeness of this site.
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Well, tbh, Luck is no excuse and Luck is no math as well :)
For me, it's kind of spiritual sense that represent your deserve factor in life. And u gotta be nice enough to earn it!
Gotta admit, I already won many big bois, here and everywhere else, even just new to these giveaway concepts.
However, it's annoying me that I'm still not good enough to deserve that RTX 2080 Super OC from SteelSeries instead of another fucking lucky bastard, altho he is probably well-deserved it xD
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So this has a bit of a selection bias since I'm just using my personal stats (aka. depending on the kind of games you enter and the time since you last won a game, your chance might differ) and I'm sure that it has been done in a better way before but i thought i'd still share it.
As of right now, I entered 9.166 Giveaway
I won 13 of them
So every giveaway had an average winning chance of 0.1418%
If i multiply that by 705.07 giveaways (found the number by trial and error) I get a winning chance of 99.999%
In conclusion I'd have to enter about 705 Giveaways to win one game
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